Hi, I'm Carter! I'm a second-year marketing PhD student at UC Berkeley. I research judgment and decision-making under uncertainty, with a focus on forecasting and AI. I also work part-time at the Forecasting Research Institute. Previously, I did research at NYU, the Global Priorities Institute, and Harvard. I'm supported by a NSF Graduate Research Fellowship.

I love meeting new people and have an autobiographical friend-me doc here. In my free time I make bad computer music, read blog posts, and collect puzzles (send me your favorites)!

Follow me on twitter and give me anonymous feedback about how to be better.

How Many Forecasting Questions Should I Put in My Study?

Given a fixed budget, determine the optimal number of forecasting questions to include in a study to maximize power to detect differences between groups.

Study Design Power Analysis

Mixed-Design Mediation Code

R code for mediation analysis that block-bootstraps/resamples by participant rather than by row. Useful for mixed designs where observations are nested within participants.

R Mediation Data Analysis

View on GitHub

Plausible EA Org Generator

Randomly generate the name of a hypothetical effective altruism organization.

Effective Altruism